• The Economics of the GERD and the Egyptian Military

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    The policy of the Egyptian government under President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi will revolve around the following issues. The first critical aspect is the quest for stability (istiqrar). Underpinning this is economic stability which will in turn shapes foreign policy. Given the history of President al Sisi the centre of gravity will be the Gulf both to secure economic resources and geopolitics of Sunni solidarity in the larger Middle East.

    Last Updated on Tuesday, 01 July 2014 20:22
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  • South Sudan: The Phony Deal.

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    Both in terms of maintaining the integrity of the SPLM, state and peace building as well as democratization, the conflict is about the soul of South Sudan. Regional and international players have continued to ignore this at their own peril.

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  • Ethiopia is ranked as the strongest military power in Sub Saharan Africa

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    I feel the ranking by Global Fire Power seem to have missed the point that the Ethiopian military establishment is more experienced in combat than that of Algeria and Egypt. Preparedness at all times and capacity to project power across national borders should have been an important consideration. In this regard Algeria and Egypt are not even in the picture. The Zimbabweans have tried to do some effective cross border operations in Mozambique and DRC but the scale and depth of it is not comparable to that of Ethiopia. 

    Last Updated on Friday, 11 April 2014 19:38
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  • An update on the South Sudan civil war

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    Juba managed to browbeat IGAD into reneging itself and refusing the participation of the Seven, a move that immediately choked off whatever little life was left in the “peace talks”. But Riak has recently declared that he was now planning to start a national organization, i.e. a kind of SPLA 2. Meanwhile,both Riak and Salva want to be the oil masters, so as to extract aid from Khartoum.

    Last Updated on Monday, 21 April 2014 20:47
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  • The Price of Provocation: Crimea and the International System

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    Jackie Liu

    Whatever the reasons lay behind the new development in Ukraine, all appeared to undermine the sense of security and safety of Russia, which Ukraine was supposed to protect. Worries about the move by Russia in Crimea should not inhibit inquiries in a way that blocks sober examination into the factors that led to the crisis.One would wonder why the West continued with the expansion of NATO even after the demise of the Soviet Union. This is the only cause for the crisis in Crimea. Hence, the sole policies put into effect by president Putin were not only consequences of the series of provocations supported by the West but calculated responses to them.

    Last Updated on Saturday, 05 April 2014 19:40
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