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The London Gathering and the Future of Somalia
Written by Administrator
Wednesday, 02 May 2012 09:20
In actual fact the London Conference ended up de-legitimising the two major
players in the Somali political and armed conflict.
Last Updated on Wednesday, 02 May 2012 09:37
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Sudan: The Harder They Fall
Saturday, 24 March 2012 06:38
Gerhard Prunier
Both adversaries are in a quandary: oil represented 68% of Khartoum’s exports and 98% of Juba’s. But the pain is unevenly shared. The most likely scenario is that all the margins at present allied in the Sudanese Revolutionary Front gang up on Khartoum and overthrow the regime. Nobody but the Arab oil bourgeoisie will mourn the Inqaz regime very much. But what will come later? A pretty confused mess, for sure. Sudan has no “strongman in waiting”. Khalil Ibrahim saw himself in that position but he is dead.
Last Updated on Sunday, 25 March 2012 18:02
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Drivers of Youth Radicalization in East Africa
Written by Medhane Tadesse
Sunday, 29 January 2012 19:00
Somali youth do not only join Al-Shabaab but also street gangs in the United States. As such specific domestic and external context does matter.
Last Updated on Tuesday, 31 January 2012 08:00
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The Strange Announcement of Unity Between Al-Shabaab and Al-Qaida
Written by Medhane Tadesse
Saturday, 25 February 2012 09:51
In one striking announcement the leaders of Al-Shabaab trapped their direction with global terrorism, with no plausible exit and an absurdly over determined explanation of how they got there in the first place.
Last Updated on Saturday, 25 February 2012 20:04
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The Military Conflict in Somalia
Written by Medhane Tadesse
Monday, 30 January 2012 20:44
Al-Shabaab’s military position has been greatly weakened due to both internal and external factors. Prominent among which is drought and famine, a loss of revenue from markets, the decline of financial support from external patrons, internal divisions and public disgust over their strict punishments, recruitment of child soldiers and indiscriminate bombing. But, then, the impact of a terrified Al-Qaeda leadership 'constantly on the run' and the Arab spring on the moral and financial health of the hard-line Al-Shabaab leadership should not be discounted. It is also severely outgunned by AU forces.
Last Updated on Tuesday, 31 January 2012 07:24
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